Saturday, July 19, 2008

Real Clear Politics’ Tom Bevan: If election held today, Obama wins with fewer than 300 electoral votes. The North Shore Boys, Cable and Streaming

Posted on our Youtube page (at top left hand corner] is Monday night's Chicago and Aurora edition of "Public Affairs," featuring Tom Bevan, Executive Editor and co-founder of RealClearPolitics.com. [Watch show with Bevan here].

Impact of Wright, Pfleger, Rezko and “bitterness” on the election

Jeff Berkowitz: So, get back to the polling, how much does Reverend Wright, how much does Father Pfleger or Tony Rezko, the “bitterness” comment—how much does that hurt Barack Obama? How much is it hurting him right now, on the polling?

Tom Bevan [Executive Editor and Co-Founder, RealClearPolitics.com]: I don’t know, exactly. It’s--

Jeff Berkowitz: It’s a factor.

Tom Bevan: I think certainly it’s a factor, and it’s going to be one that’s revisited before this thing is all over.

Jeff Berkowitz: And the stuff about not wearing a [flag] lapel pin, and the video that shows him without his hand over his heart when he’s pledging allegiance—I think I’ve seen one video. I don’t think it was doctored. That stuff hurts. We’re going to see that, we’re going to see Reverend Wright saying “goddamn America, KKK.” And it hurts as you go up that line in Appalachia, whether it’s Kentucky or West Virginia. That is one reason why Hillary did so well—perhaps—in those states.

Tom Bevan: Yes, but does Barack need those states? Does he need to win those states?

Jeff Berkowitz: West Virginia might help.

Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada?

Tom Bevan: That’s why Obama’s focusing on Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada-

Jeff Berkowitz: Could it hurt Obama in Nevada, when that starts showing? Maybe they weren’t pushing it out there.

Tom Bevan: It could. We’ll see.

Jeff Berkowitz: He’s a guy who gave a speech about patriotism, and McCain says, “I don’t question his patriotism”, but are the American people, hearing that stuff we’ve just been talking about, do they question his patriotism?

Tom Bevan: I think some probably do, and I think that’s why he spent all this money, starting out with his “for the love of country” ad.

Who wins? Obama or McCain?

Jeff Berkowitz: Who wins? Who wins, Barack Obama or John McCain? At the end of the day.

Tom Bevan: If the election were held today, Obama would win.

Jeff Berkowitz: How much does he win by? How many electoral votes?

Tom Bevan: I think it’s actually going to be very, very close. I don’t think he’ll get over three hundred. Right around three hundred, maybe just a little bit under.
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From this coming Monday night's edition of Public Affairs, airing in the City of Chicago at 8:30 pm on Cable Ch. 21 and in the City of Aurora and surrounding areas at 7:30 pm on ACTV-10 [Go here] for more airing schedule details, show topics and information about our guest, Tom Bevan.
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Thanks to Amy Allen, Public Affairs intern, for preparing the above partial transcript of this coming Monday night's edition of "Public Affairs," featuring guest Tom Bevan of RealClearPolitics.com.
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Jeff Berkowitz, Show Host/Producer of "Public Affairs," and Executive Legal Recruiter doing legal search can be reached at JBCG@aol.com. You may watch "Public Affairs," shows with Presidential Candidates Obama, McCain, Giuliani and Cox, this past week's suburban edition of Public Affairs with RealClearPolitics.com's Tom Bevan, next week's suburban edition of Public Affairs with State Rep. Candidate Tim Stratton (R-Glencoe, 58th Dist.), our prior shows with State Rep. Mark Beaubien (R-Wauconda), Ald. Sandi Jackson(Chicago, 7th Ward), 13th CD Democratic Nominee Scott Harper, State Sen. Kwame Raoul (D-Chicago); State Senator John Cullerton (D-Chicago), Comm. Forrest Claypool (D-Chicago), State Rep. Candidate Joan Solms (R-Aurora), 6th CD Democratic Nominee Colonel Jill Morgenthaler (Ret.), State Rep. Jim Durkin (R-Western Springs) and shows with many other pols at www.PublicAffairsTv.com
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Now included on the Public Affairs YouTube page is last Monday night's show in the cities of Chicago and Aurora withAld. Sandi Jackson. Additional very recently posted shows on the Public Affairs YouTube page include this past week's suburban edition of "Public Affairs," featuring Real Clear Politics' Tom Bevan and next week's suburban edition of "Public Affairs," featuring State Rep. Candidate Tim Stratton (R-Glencoe, 58th Dist.) and our recent show featuring State Rep. Mark Beaubien (R-Wauconda). Other recently posted shows include our shows featuring 13th CD Demoratic Nominee Scott Harper, Sen. Kwame Raoul(D-Chicago), Senator John Cullerton (D-Chicago)- ; State Rep. candidate Joan Solms (R-Aurora), Comm. Forrest Claypool (D-Chicago) on the Obama Presidential campaign and shows with many other pols