Tuesday, July 15, 2008

Better than the Beltway Boys: Berkowitz and Bevan, aka the Chicago Boys, discuss national issues and polling data, on Cable and Streaming

Tom Bevan [Executive Editor, RealClearPolitics.com]: Yes, potentially. I mean, ironically, this is one of the things-- McCain was tagged by Obama and others as flip-flopping on this issue. But McCain’s argument is, “well, look. When I was for the ban on off-shore drilling, gas was two bucks, or a $1.50. Now it’s $4.50. Things have changed, so I’ve changed my mind.”

Jeff Berkowitz: Flip-flopping is okay. And, partly, a flip-flop is okay when people want you to change, number one. And two, it’s okay when circumstances have changed. We want a President to adjust. We don’t want an ideologue, right?.
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Now posted on our Youtube page (at top left hand corner] is this week's Chicago Metro suburban edition of "Public Affairs," featuring Tom Bevan, Executive Editor and co-founder of RealClearPolitics.com. [Watch show with Bevan here].

Show guest Tom Bevan discusses and debates media bias, Obama-McCain differences, what the polls tell us, which Presidential issues are significant for the voters, when is it good to flip-flop and much more [See a more detailed list of show topics, below].

The Public Affairs suburban airing schedule is included, below.
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The Tom Bevan show is a bit over 29 minutes long and this reporter can assure you, Democrat, Republican or independent, you will be riveted to your seat. Public Affairs, hosted and produced by Jeff Berkowitz, for the last decade, is the fastest half hour in television. If it's Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday or Sunday, it's Public Affairs. If you want to be current on Public Affairs, don't leave your computer without watching "Public Affairs"; don't leave home without watching "Public Affairs," on cable.
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Does Eight-year Democratic State Rep. incumbent, Karen May, lack focus on the fiscal issues of the State, as asserted by her opponent, State Rep. Candidate Tim Stratton [R-Glencoe]? Tune in to next week's suburban edition of "Public Affairs," to hear that and many other key state legislative issues discussed by 58th Dist. candidate Stratton.

You can watch the show with Glencoe Parks Commissioner, Ice Miller senior counsel and Republican State Rep. Candidate Stratton on your computer, 24-7. State Rep. May [D-Highland Park] has been invited to appear on "Public Affairs." She has yet to respond with a date when she is available.
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More details on the topics discussed with RealClearPolitics.com's Tom Bevan on this week's show.

Tom Bevan, Co-Founder and Executive Editor of www.Real Clear Politics.com (“RCP”) debates and discusses national public policy issues and politics with show host and executive legal recruiter Jeff Berkowitz. RCP states on its website that it “culls and publishes the best commentary, news, polling data, and links to important resources from all points of the political compass and covering all the important issues of the day.”

Topics discussed on this week's suburban edition of Public Affairs include John McIntyre’s (the other co-founder of RCP) idea to develop and promote averages of a diverse set of polls to summarize, fairly and objectively, the results of a large number of political polls; the top two or three issues that distinguish Obama from McCain, and vice versa; Bevan thinks of himself as a “registered Republican,” but he “votes for the person,” and he is not “a straight ticket person”; why McCain “is not paying the price,” for supporting an unpopular war in Iraq; was McCain’s comment that he doesn’t know much about the economy an “inane one,” that might cost him the election.

Additional topics include Presidential candidates balancing benefits and costs when making decisions, which means they will change positions on occasion to reflect changes in circumstances and facts; does McCain often look for a fight with the Republican national base? Has McCain gone the “wrong way,” on too many issues important to his base to narrow the “enthusiasm gap,” with Obama? Is campaign finance reform an “abomination of the 1st Amendment.” Did Obama recently diss the Democratic Leadership Council ("DLC") by skipping its event in Chicago? Is Obama “just another pol,” as exemplified by his shift on the Telecom bill.

Additional topics include “left media bias by most of the broadcast and cable outlets,” as exemplified by the Chicago media’s and Obama’s traveling media’s softball treatment of Obama in a recent Chicago Presser, as well as their relatively “hands off, approach to aggressive questioning of Obama during the recent Democratic Presidential Primary.

Both Bevan and McIntyre attended and graduated from Princeton at the same time, but they did not meet until they returned to the Chicago Metro area, and they started RCP in 2000. The rest is history, as they say.
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Jeff Berkowitz: You also do, in addition to Real Clear Politics, your company does Real Clear Markets, right?

Tom Bevan [Executive Editor and co-founder, RealClearPolitics.com]: Correct.

Is the U.S. Economy really in bad shape?

Jeff Berkowitz: And Real Clear Sports. We’ll get to that in a minute. But Real Clear Markets--you say “clearly” we’re not doing well [in terms of the U. S. Economy]. Is that true from the data? What’s the unemployment rate now, roughly? Ball park.

Tom Bevan: It just went to, what, five and a half percent?

Jeff Berkowitz: Something like that. It used to be four percent [was] full employment [or] five percent, full employment. How bad is it with an unemployment rate of five and a half percent?

Tom Bevan: Right.

Jeff Berkowitz: I mean, it’s not like there are droves of people walking the streets [looking for jobs].

Tom Bevan: If you look at the unemployment data, just the numbers that came out last week—six straight months where we’ve shed jobs.

Jeff Berkowitz: Sixty thousand [newly] unemployed people, was that what it was?

Dow decrease worst since the Great Depression?

Tom Bevan: The housing market remains rough. The Dow had it’s worst month since, what, the Great Depression, I think, just this past month.

Jeff Berkowitz: I’ve heard that, but it doesn’t seem right. The loss in the Dow over the month—is that adjusted for inflation? What is it, eleven thousand five hundred? Something like that, right?

Tom Bevan: Something like that.

Jeff Berkowitz: It’s not terrible. I mean, my God-

Do high gas prices help McCain?

Tom Bevan: No but, look. Part of this is, the perception is, whether it’s by technical definition of a recession or not, clearly with four and half dollar a gallon gas, people out there believe—if you look at the polling data, are we headed in the right direction, wrong direction, issues of the economy-

Jeff Berkowitz: Doesn’t that help McCain? So McCain says, at four and a half dollars he’s for off shore drilling, at two dollars he wasn’t. He says now the need is greater. Everybody wants a President, or a presidential candidate, to balance benefits and costs. If the price of gas is a dollar and a half, you can be magnanimous when it comes to the environment.

Tom Bevan [founder of Real Clear Politics]: That’s right.

Jeff Berkowitz: At four and a half dollars, you’ve got to think about some off-shore drilling. Number one, is that McCain’s reasoning, and number two, is that attractive, as you see the polling of people?

It’s more off-shore drilling, stupid?

Tom Bevan: Certainly, I think we’ve seen the polling on this move dramatically in the last couple of months.

Jeff Berkowitz: In favor of more off-shore drilling.

Tom Bevan: In favor of exploiting domestic resources, and-

Jeff Berkowitz: And McCain says yes [to more offshore drilling], and Obama says no, so-

Tom Bevan: That’s right.

Jeff Berkowitz: If independents are like the rest of the country, advantage McCain, on the high gas prices.

The time is right to flip-flop?

Tom Bevan: Yes, potentially. I mean, ironically, this is one of the things-- McCain was tagged by Obama and others as flip-flopping on this issue. But McCain’s argument is, “well, look. When I was for the ban on off-shore drilling, gas was two bucks, or a $1.50. Now it’s $4.50. Things have changed, so I’ve changed my mind.”

Jeff Berkowitz: Flip-flopping is okay. And, partly, a flip-flop is okay when people want you to change, number one. And two, it’s okay when circumstances have changed. We want a President to adjust. We don’t want an ideologue, right?.

Tom Bevan [co-founder of Real Clear Politics]: Clearly, I think that’s one of the differentiations that McCain wants to make.

Jeff Berkowitz: So, in sum, as you look at it, is McCain, at least with independents, is he doing okay?

Tom Bevan: Yeah. He’s doing okay. He’s competitive with independents. His big problem is, as we talked about before the show, is [that] there’s an enthusiasm gap…the Democrats are very excited about Obama and Democrats are certainly excited about the prospect of winning the White House.
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Thanks to "Public Affairs," intern Amy Allen for preparing a draft of the above partial transcript of this week's suburban edition of "Public Affairs."
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Public Affairs Chicago Metro suburban airing schedule.

The show with Tom Bevan is airing this week in the North and Northwest Chicago Metro suburbs in its regular slot:

Tonight at 8:30 pm on Comcast Cable Channel 19 in Buffalo Grove, Elk Grove Village, Hoffman Estates, parts of Inverness, Lincolnwood, Morton Grove, Niles, Northfield, Palatine, Rolling Meadows and Wilmette

and Tonight (Tuesday) at 8:30 pm on Comcast Cable Channel 35 in Arlington Heights, Bartlett, Glenview, Golf, Des Plaines, Hanover Park, Mt. Prospect, Northbrook, Park Ridge, Prospect Heights, Schaumburg, Skokie, Streamwood and Wheeling.

and on Monday, Wednesday and Friday at 8:30 pm airing on Comcast Cable Channel 19 in Bannockburn, Deerfield, Ft. Sheridan, Glencoe, Highland Park, Highwood, Kenilworth, Lincolnshire, Riverwoods and Winnetka.
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Public Affairs City of Chicago and City of Aurora airing schedule, featuring Tom Bevan, this coming Monday night.

The "Public Affairs," show with Tom Bevan will also air throughout the City of Chicago this coming Monday night, July 14, at 8:30 pm on Cable Ch. 21 (CANTV) and that same night on cable in Aurora and surrounding areas at 7:30 pm on ACTV-10. The Aurora station, Aurora Community Television, Comcast Cable Ch. 10, reaches all of Aurora, Bristol, Big Rock and parts of Oswego, Sandwich, Sugar Grove and Montgomery.
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Jeff Berkowitz, Show Host/Producer of "Public Affairs," and Executive Legal Recruiter doing legal search can be reached at JBCG@aol.com. You may watch "Public Affairs," shows with Presidential Candidates Obama, McCain, Giuliani and Cox, this week's suburban edition of Public Affairs with RealClearPolitics.com's Tom Bevan, next week's suburban edition of Public Affairs with State Rep. Candidate Tim Stratton (R-Glencoe, 58th Dist.), last Monday night's Chicago and Aurora show with State Rep. Mark Beaubien (R-Wauconda), Tonight's City of Chicago and City of Aurora edition of Public Affairs w/Ald. Sandi Jackson, our prior show with 13th CD Dem. Nominee Scott Harper, State Sen. Kwame Raoul (D-Chicago); State Senator John Cullerton (D-Chicago), Comm. Forrest Claypool (D-Chicago), State Rep. Candidate Joan Solms (R-Aurora), 6th CD Democratic candidate, Colonel Jill Morgenthaler (Ret.), State Rep. Jim Durkin (R-Western Springs) and shows with many other pols at www.PublicAffairsTv.com
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Now included on the Public Affairs YouTube page is last night's show in the cities of Chicago and Aurora withAld. Sandi Jackson. Additional very recently posted shows on the Public Affairs YouTube page are this week's suburban edition of Public Affairs with Tom Bevan and next week's suburban edition of Public Affairs with State Rep. Candidate Tim Stratton (R-Glencoe, 58th Dist.), last Monday night's Chicago and Aurora show with State Rep. Mark Beaubien (R-Wauconda). Other recently posted shows include our prior show in Chicago, Aurora and across the State of Illinois with 13th CD Dem. Nominee Scott Harper, our prior show with Sen. Kwame Raoul(D-Chicago), Senator John Cullerton (D-Chicago)- watch here; State Rep. candidate Joan Solms (R-Aurora), Comm. Forrest Claypool (D-Chicago) on the Obama Presidential campaign and shows with many other pols